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Long-term trends show value investing isn’t dead

Long-term trends show value investing isn’t dead

11/11/2025
Marcos Vinicius
Long-term trends show value investing isn’t dead

In a world that often chases the next technological marvel, value investing stands as a testament to the power of patience, discipline, and fundamental analysis. Far from being an outdated approach, recent market data and long-term trends affirm that value investing remains a vital strategy for investors seeking both growth and protection.

Understanding value investing principles

At its core, value investing involves identifying companies trading below their intrinsic worth. Investors look for securities characterized by lower price-to-book, price-to-earnings, and price-to-cash-flow ratios, often accompanied by higher dividend yields. These metrics reflect companies with established cash flows, solid balance sheets, and less susceptibility to market euphoria.

By focusing on intrinsic value discipline, value investors anchor their decisions in tangible performance rather than speculative momentum. This approach not only offers potential upside but also provides a margin of safety during turbulent periods.

Historical performance: Value vs. growth

While growth stocks have enjoyed several years of dominance, value’s resurgence in late 2024 and early 2025 reminds us of its cyclical nature. In January 2025, the Morningstar US Value Index rose 4.5% compared to the US Growth Index’s 3.9%. This early-year leadership continued as Deep Value stocks—the cheapest quintile by common valuation metrics—delivered a 16.1% return year-to-date, outpacing both the broader value group (3.35%) and growth peers.

Over the past two decades, value stocks outperformed growth in 46% of months. Although growth held the edge across 8 of the past 10 years, value reclaimed parity over the last five years with another 46% of months in the lead. These shifts underscore that neither style enjoys permanent supremacy.

The cyclical nature of investment styles

Market leadership often rotates between styles based on macroeconomic conditions, central bank policies, and investor sentiment. Value investing typically shines when economic growth stabilizes, interest rates pause or decline, and market stress increases.

Recent moderation in inflation, a robust labor market, and expectations of rate cuts have paved the way for value’s comeback. As the IMF forecasts 2.2% US growth in 2025, downside protection in volatile markets makes value stocks an appealing choice for measured exposure.

International trends and diversification

In 2025, international equities outperformed US stocks by roughly 11%. This global rotation underscores that value revival is not confined to domestic markets. Investors embracing both US and non-US value opportunities can harness broader market dislocations and regional recoveries.

Factors supporting value investing’s resilience

  • Focus on real company performance and cash flows
  • Enhanced margin of safety during downturns
  • Opportunities from geopolitical or market shocks
  • Attractive valuations when markets become overheated

Such factors remind us that value investing is more than a style—it is an enduring framework for disciplined investing that thrives amid uncertainty.

Challenges and criticisms of value investing

Despite its merits, value investing faces headwinds. Since the Global Financial Crisis, growth sectors—especially technology and communications—have benefited from structural shifts in the economy. At times, the valuation gap between value and growth has reached 40-year extremes, raising concerns about prolonged underperformance.

  • Long dormant stretches where growth outpaces value
  • Structural shifts favoring intangible assets over book value
  • Difficulty in timing market cycles and defensive rotations

These critiques underscore the importance of patience. Even the most stalwart strategies can experience lengthy periods of subpar returns.

Looking forward: Enduring strength of value

Renowned firms like Schwab emphasize data-driven long-term expectations. While equities may face narrower margins over risk-free assets in the coming decade, disciplined approaches anchored in fundamentals should continue to excel.

Value investing’s cyclical resilience has weathered technological revolutions, financial crises, and shifting monetary regimes. By focusing on underlying business performance, patient investors can capitalize on market overreactions and mean reversion.

Practical strategies for investors

To harness value’s potential, consider the following guidelines:

  • Diversify across both value and growth exposures to balance risk and opportunity.
  • Rebalance portfolios periodically to capture gains and reinvest in undervalued sectors.
  • Stay anchored in fundamentals, analyzing cash flows, balance sheets, and dividend trends.
  • Exercise discipline during periods of underperformance—mean reversion is a powerful force.

By integrating these practices, investors position themselves to navigate market cycles with confidence.

Ultimately, value investing endures because it appeals to timeless principles: patience, rigorous analysis, and a long-term horizon. As markets ebb and flow, the lessons of decades past reaffirm that value investing isn’t dead—it’s simply evolving with each cycle, ready to reward those who remain steadfast in the face of uncertainty.

Marcos Vinicius

About the Author: Marcos Vinicius

Marcos Vinicius, 30 years old, is a writer at spokespub.com, focusing on credit strategies and financial solutions for beginners.